25% chance until we beat one of the top 4 teams in the conference, at which point it would switch to 50%. If we beat two of them, 75%.
It's still very likely that we drop one we shouldn't, with MU, ISU, CU, @CU, and @NU being in that category. Four games from now we'll have a much clearer picture.
Mizzou does seem to be playing better than when we played them in Columbia. How well do they play on the road?