KSUFans Archives
Sports => Frank Martin's OOD sponsored by the "Angriest Fans in America" => Topic started by: sys on March 27, 2006, 04:30:36 PM
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it is almost ridiculous how favorable ksu should have it next year in conference. almost every break they could get, they get. i think you could make a reasonable argument for 9-10 win big 12 season - without assuming the team will improve at all from this year.
1. of the 5 other north teams, only ku seems likely to improve or remain equal to their 05-06 level. all other teams have significant player losses (may change depending on draft returns). at least thus far (yes, still very early) none of these teams seem to have instant impact recruits lined up to make up for those losses.
2. south teams should fare better, but we get arguably the weakest 3 of the bunch at home - tech, baylor, and ou.
i think it is not unreasonable to expect to go 6-2, 7-1, 8-0 at home. and perhaps 2-3, 3-2 road in the north. if ksu can go 1-2 road in the south, that would be good.
a fairly reasonable probability curve:
6-10 - 5%
7- 9 - 10%
8-8 - 20%
9-7 - 30%
10-6 - 20%
11-5 - 10%
12-4 - 5%
85% chance .500 or better.
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yeah, I think other than ku, and depending on what happens at texas, K-state has chance to do well next year in the big 12. I think they will be at .500 or better at least. I'm gonna go out on a limb, because we don't know the schedule, have questions about some of the players, and depends on who we sign this spring, but I'm gonna guess that K state gets around 16 or 17 wins next year.
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With everything that you are saying about the Big 12 North, depending on the non conference schedule, we should expect 20 wins next year. We have the nucleus to win 8 in the Big 12 and if we sign one Juco and Bennett, we should be at 10 wins. Don't set you sights to low.
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yes i refuse to believe that 20 wins, a top 4 big 12 finish, and an ncaa birth is not the expectation with what we have coming back and huggins in charge. lets hit the ground running, pack the house, and prepare to win and win big!
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I think it is good to have high expectations but we will have to wait and see what happens through the offseason with the other teams and get our non conference schedule figured out before we make too high of assumptions. I definitly think it is possible to finish in the top 4 of the big 12 and win 20 games but a lot of stuff can happen in the offseason.
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i base this mostly on the fact that if wooly was anything of a coach he would have accomplished all that this season. hell, the ncaa birth was a written job expectation.
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Woolly was a c-hair away from 20 wins this year...on the other hand, the schedule will get tougher. If he lands a top-shelf big man, we should still win 20.
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Woolly was a c-hair away from 20 wins this year...on the other hand, the schedule will get tougher. If he lands a top-shelf big man, we should still win 20.
yep...15 is SOOO close to 20.
:jerkoff:
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hell, the ncaa birth was a written job expectation.
It wasn't an expectation so much as an excuse to fire him.
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Woolly was a c-hair away from 20 wins this year...on the other hand, the schedule will get tougher. If he lands a top-shelf big man, we should still win 20.
yep...15 is SOOO close to 20.
:jerkoff:
current talent + Wooly coaching = 15 wins + 9 close losses
current talent + Huggy coaching + decent big man = 20 wins
If you don't agree with that, you must not agree with hiring Huggins.
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I expect no worse than 6-2 at home...there's a very real chance of going 3-0 at home vs. the south, in my opinion...going to A&M, Stillwater, and Austin will be tough...remembering now that opposing fans will actually show up for our road games...
In the north, I'll be disappointed if we aren't at least 2 games over .500.