KSUFans Archives
Sports => Frank Martin's OOD sponsored by the "Angriest Fans in America" => Topic started by: ksu1420 on March 05, 2007, 09:30:33 AM
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http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology (http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology)
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http://www.ksufans.com/forums/index.php?topic=8673.0
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my bad catsfan
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From the Drive to 65. (http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch?id=52)
Big 12 Conference
Teams that should be in: Texas Tech
Work left to do: Oklahoma State, Kansas State
Texas Tech gets a bump and may now be only a win over league bottomfeeder Colorado to book its trip. The interesting part would be that the Red Raiders' quarterfinal game would be against K-State, which almost certainly does need that win to get in. It's not quite the Tech-Colorado play-in game from last season, but it's close. Oklahoma State's now in a world of trouble and almost undoubtedly needs to win three in a row now to have any legit chance. Could the league end up with only four bids? It's quite possible at this point.
Should be in:
Texas Tech [20-11 (9-7), RPI: 42, SOS: 19] I like the Red Raiders' chances right now, but beating Colorado in the opening round of the B12 tourney is a must. After that? I don't know that they have to beat K-State in the quarters, but that would definitively seal the deal. They have better-quality wins than almost any team in the bubble muck, with a sweep of the three games against Texas A&M and Kansas. There's not a lot in nonconference play (against Arkansas in Little Rock being the best win, by far) to lean on, but it appears the Red Raiders may very well have done enough if they don't stumble against Colorado.
Work left to do:
Oklahoma State [19-10 (6-9), RPI: 52, SOS: 37] The Cowboys' rally at Baylor fell just short and now they're in serious bubble trouble. They remain the only team in the nation without a true road win, which may be as big a red flag as the (at best) 7-9 league record, although to be fair, the Pokes have won five neutral-site games. It's hard to recall a team (OK, other than Clemson) falling so precipitously from lock status to out of the NCAAs. There are some good nonconference performances to lean on, specifically beating Missouri State and Syracuse on neutral floors and Pitt in OK City, but those very well might not be enough now without a deep conference tourney run. The Cowboys almost certainly need three more wins to have a realistic chance.
Kansas State [21-10 (10-6), RPI: 60, SOS: 96] The Wildcats beat Oklahoma at home to get to 10-6, but probably need to beat Texas Tech (a team that beat K-State in Manhattan) in the Big 12 quarters to get to the dance. The league wins are over Colorado (twice), Missouri (twice), Iowa State (twice), Baylor, Nebraska, Oklahoma and (a good one against) Texas. Look, conference wins are always good, but that crew and a middling nonconference schedule helps explain the weak computer profile. The win over USC is nice, but there's not a lot else there. An opening-round loss to Tech probably will make the Cats the third Big 12 North team to get to 10 wins and miss the NCAAs. There are too many other teams that are going to play their way in and the number of available at-larges is dwindling.
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my bad catsfan
Don't sweat it. Most of what he posts should be ignored - and is. You can't be held responsible for overlooking it.