KSUFans Archives

Sports => Frank Martin's OOD sponsored by the "Angriest Fans in America" => Topic started by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 10:41:46 AM

Title: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 10:41:46 AM
So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

OSU:
                       
Quote
   Correlations
                        to OE       to DE
                 Pace:  +0.33       -0.21

                 eFG%: +0.83*      -0.66*
                  OR%:  +0.63*      -0.18
                  TO%:  -0.28       -0.04
                  FTR:  +0.07       -0.10

             Opp eFG%:  -0.63*      +0.66*
              Opp OR%:  +0.03       +0.20
              Opp TO%:  +0.18       -0.57*
              Opp FTR:  -0.15       +0.35

             Bold  values are significant with a 95% confidence
             Bold* values are significant with a 99% confidence

KSU:

Quote
                          Correlations
                        to OE       to DE
                 Pace:  -0.11       -0.04

                 eFG%:  +0.80*      -0.02
                  OR%:  +0.31       -0.23
                  TO%:  -0.33       -0.40
                  FTR:  +0.23       -0.02

             Opp eFG%:  -0.10       +0.85*
              Opp OR%:  +0.30       +0.11
              Opp TO%:  -0.16       -0.56*
              Opp FTR:  -0.40       +0.25

The game plan shows which phases affect a team's offensive and defensive efficiency most.  Shooting % obviously has the biggest effect on just about every team, but for KSU, our next most important factor is creating turnovers.  He explains it a little more here.

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/game_plan/

Interesting thing about OSU:  How well they shoot has a large effect on how well they play defense, and how well their opponents shoot has a large effect on how well they play offense.  In other words, we need to shoot well tonight.

Riveting stuff from this Pomeroy guy.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: kougar24 on February 27, 2007, 10:43:05 AM
He is a huge nerd.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: ksu_FAN on February 27, 2007, 10:45:37 AM
So do you own this Oliver guy's book?  I'm already assuming sys has it memorized. :)
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 10:47:57 AM
He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

So do you own this Oliver guy's book?  I'm already assuming sys has it memorized. :)

I might need to get it.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: ksu_FAN on February 27, 2007, 10:50:21 AM
It sounds interesting.  And Oliver actually played ball at Cal Tech. 
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: kougar24 on February 27, 2007, 10:54:37 AM
I would love to do what he does full time.

You are a huge nerd.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: AzCat on February 27, 2007, 10:56:33 AM
He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

Isn't he a meteorologist or something?  He does the hoops stuff when he gets home to his parents basement after a long day of working on wrong forecasts.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 10:59:00 AM
I would love to do what he does full time.

You are a huge nerd.

(http://members.cox.net/praguian/k24_yin_yang2.png)

He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

Isn't he a meteorologist or something?  He does the hoops stuff when he gets home to his parents basement after a long day of working on wrong forecasts.

Yeah, I'd still love to do that full time.  Like the nerds that Billy Beane hired or something.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: ksu_FAN on February 27, 2007, 11:03:04 AM
Yeah, he works for the National Weather Service.  The basketball stats stuff is just his hobby, not sure if he gets paid or not.  Glad he hasn't sold out and made his stuff subscription based. 

Quote
"There's more money in weather," Pomeroy said. "If somebody was willing to pay, basketball would be full time and weather would be my hobby."
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: kougar24 on February 27, 2007, 11:03:51 AM
My avatar > Rusty's avatar, which is the worst relic from the worst period in Kansas State basketball.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 11:10:55 AM
Yeah, he works for the National Weather Service.  The basketball stats stuff is just his hobby, not sure if he gets paid or not.  Glad he hasn't sold out and made his stuff subscription based. 

Quote
"There's more money in weather," Pomeroy said. "If somebody was willing to pay, basketball would be full time and weather would be my hobby."

The guy should be making a little cash off his website.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: fatty fat fat on February 27, 2007, 11:49:15 AM
webprince/pomeroy types

(http://members.cox.net/fatty4ksu/webprince.JPG)
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: sys on February 27, 2007, 02:45:13 PM
So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

check out the consistency rankings for both ksu and osu.  also, osu turns the ball over a ton.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: michigancat on February 27, 2007, 03:51:17 PM
So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

check out the consistency rankings for both ksu and osu.  also, osu turns the ball over a ton.

They're also lucky.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: KState25 on February 27, 2007, 04:20:58 PM
Oklahoma at 26??? :confused:
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: fatty fat fat on February 27, 2007, 04:23:56 PM
If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: sys on February 27, 2007, 04:25:29 PM
If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.

pomeroy on football = trips  :lick:
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: fatty fat fat on February 27, 2007, 04:27:21 PM
If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.

pomeroy on football = trips  :lick:

I wish you'd appreciate how incredibly dominating those football teams were. Every game we won was a 30+ blowout, and our 6 losses over those two years were by a combined 29 points.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: sys on February 27, 2007, 04:38:49 PM
I wish you'd appreciate how incredibly dominating those football teams were. Every game we won was a 30+ blowout, and our 6 losses over those two years were by a combined 29 points.

i´ll try really hard to care.
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: fatty fat fat on February 27, 2007, 04:40:07 PM
you've been miserable these past 20 years, haven't you?
Title: Re: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.
Post by: sys on February 27, 2007, 04:41:56 PM
mostly.