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Sports => Frank Martin's OOD sponsored by the "Angriest Fans in America" => Topic started by: Pete on November 22, 2009, 11:41:25 AM

Title: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: Pete on November 22, 2009, 11:41:25 AM

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/[email protected]/date/11-22-09/time/1730

If we don't win this game, then our non-con is going to fist &@#% us in March.  HUGE GAME!

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: Applejack on November 22, 2009, 11:53:41 AM

we win by 10. and i never think we will win. :tongue: :steadymobbin':

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: Pete on November 22, 2009, 12:12:01 PM

Is that because Dayton is terrible and won't end up helping our RPI?   :ohno:

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: sys on November 22, 2009, 12:13:46 PM

a loss today would fist&@#% us more today than at any time in the future, imo.  at least it would me.

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: chum1 on November 22, 2009, 02:09:57 PM

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: sys on November 22, 2009, 02:53:05 PM

Quote from: chum1 on November 22, 2009, 02:09:57 PM

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

yeah.  weird/stupid bias by the ncaa in favoring high variance teams.

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: michigancat on November 22, 2009, 03:05:49 PM

Quote from: chum1 on November 22, 2009, 02:09:57 PM

I really don't think bad losses hurt you if you're a bubble team in March.  Only a lack of quality wins does that.

bad losses hurt you - this wouldn't be a bad loss (like Iowa or Oregon last year).  it would be the equivalent of a win over a crappy team. Effect is neutral to positive, depending on how good Dayton is at the end of the year.

Title: Re: The line on the Dayton game is a pick'em
Post by: Bookcat on November 22, 2009, 04:10:24 PM

we don't know if Dayton is a bad loss or a good win because we don't know if Dayton is going to be worth a crap this year. Maybe they'll tank...like Iowa and Kentucky did last year...maybe not.