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It will be fun to kick their ass and watch the national media act all surprised that bill has the gang running again.
Most people fail to realize that prior to the bowl games, we would have been a 1 pt fave at home vs Auburn and a 2 pt dog in a neutral location...
Auburn is probably going to kick the rough ridin' crap out of us. They will eat waters alive.
Quote from: Bookie Pimp on April 20, 2014, 07:29:41 PMMost people fail to realize that prior to the bowl games, we would have been a 1 pt fave at home vs Auburn and a 2 pt dog in a neutral location... I find that wildly unlikely.
Quote from: Dlew12 on April 20, 2014, 09:05:51 PMQuote from: Bookie Pimp on April 20, 2014, 07:29:41 PMMost people fail to realize that prior to the bowl games, we would have been a 1 pt fave at home vs Auburn and a 2 pt dog in a neutral location... I find that wildly unlikely.Even with the Bama game, $EC CG and BCS CG games all factored into the Massey equation, that math model still only has Auburn by 5 in BSFS.http://www.masseyratings.com/game.php?s0=199231&t0=Auburn&h=-1&s1=199231&t1=Kansas+StateSome statistician/handicapper buddies and I got into a discussion about it near the end of last season and statistically we were literally dead even with Auburn even with SOS factored in. Their performance in their last three games (with 2/3 being against elite competition) put a little gap in the numbers however.
Quote from: Bookie Pimp on April 20, 2014, 09:17:54 PMQuote from: Dlew12 on April 20, 2014, 09:05:51 PMQuote from: Bookie Pimp on April 20, 2014, 07:29:41 PMMost people fail to realize that prior to the bowl games, we would have been a 1 pt fave at home vs Auburn and a 2 pt dog in a neutral location... I find that wildly unlikely.Even with the Bama game, $EC CG and BCS CG games all factored into the Massey equation, that math model still only has Auburn by 5 in BSFS.http://www.masseyratings.com/game.php?s0=199231&t0=Auburn&h=-1&s1=199231&t1=Kansas+StateSome statistician/handicapper buddies and I got into a discussion about it near the end of last season and statistically we were literally dead even with Auburn even with SOS factored in. Their performance in their last three games (with 2/3 being against elite competition) put a little gap in the numbers however.Well...they lost their bowl game...so "prior to their bowl game" was still after Alabama and the SEC CG and before they lost...
Quote from: kim carnes on April 05, 2014, 01:13:41 AMAuburn is probably going to kick the rough ridin' crap out of us. They will eat waters alive.I always thought ppl drank water, but now I know better.
I'm looking ahead, past all other games, to the time that we again face NDSU in the epic rematch.
We should allow auburn to buy out of this game We stand to gain nothing by playing them.
Who has ESPNinsider that can cut/paste the whole story? Apparently, they are predicting a K-State win at home vs Auburn... http://insider.espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10861397/projecting-2014-sec-team-records-division-rankings-college-footballThey use their models to predict SEC standings for this upcoming season, and project Auburn to finish 8-4 (5-3 in conference). Barring that 4th loss is to LaTech, Samford, or SJSU at home, their models indicate we would win at home.
MODELS!
Don't worry about the actual article, it doesn't even mention k-state by name, but yeah it does predict an auburn loss i guess.
3. Auburn TigersProjected finish: 8-4 (5-3)Chance to win SEC: 4 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 4 percentThe projection model is designed to accurately project the fortunes of the majority of teams, and Auburn was one of its biggest misses last year. Its five-year trendline certainly didn't forecast a run to the national championship game in 2013. The Tigers' performance prospects are more favorable in this year's projection (No. 8 overall in the FEI ratings), but the schedule holds them back. Cross-division games against South Carolina and Georgia and a road trip to Alabama present the most difficult draw of any SEC West team. There are seven games on the Auburn schedule that fall into toss-up territory. If Auburn can recapture the magic of last season, those toss-ups will be victories for sure. However, a solid but not spectacular season is more likely.
4. Kansas State WildcatsProjected finish: 8-4 (6-3)Chance to win Big 12: 9 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 3 percentOur projection model almost always underrates Kansas State, a program that doesn't recruit like an elite program but one from which head coach LHC LHC Bill Snyder consistently draws efficient performances. The program-building that Snyder has done at KSU is remarkable, but we don't have a specific factor in the formula to account for his wizardry. We can project that they'll be in the Big 12 mix throughout the year. More than 50 percent of the Wildcats' offensive drives crossed the opponent's 30-yard line in 2013, the second straight season Kansas State had a top-20 mark in that value drive measure.Kansas State had a rough start, then picked up steam in the second half the season, a story that may play out similarly this year. The Wildcats will be tested early in 2014 with a rare pair of nonconference games against Big Five opponents (Auburn and Utah), though they are more than twice as likely to win both (35 percent) than they are to lose both (16 percent).
Utah?
Utah, UTEP = Tomatah, TomaTEP
Also predicts KSU Cats to have a non-con loss though, so . . .Quote4. Kansas State WildcatsProjected finish: 8-4 (6-3)Chance to win Big 12: 9 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 3 percentOur projection model almost always underrates Kansas State, a program that doesn't recruit like an elite program but one from which head coach LHC LHC Bill Snyder consistently draws efficient performances. The program-building that Snyder has done at KSU is remarkable, but we don't have a specific factor in the formula to account for his wizardry. We can project that they'll be in the Big 12 mix throughout the year. More than 50 percent of the Wildcats' offensive drives crossed the opponent's 30-yard line in 2013, the second straight season Kansas State had a top-20 mark in that value drive measure.Kansas State had a rough start, then picked up steam in the second half the season, a story that may play out similarly this year. The Wildcats will be tested early in 2014 with a rare pair of nonconference games against Big Five opponents (Auburn and Utah), though they are more than twice as likely to win both (35 percent) than they are to lose both (16 percent).wizardry, tho.
Quote from: yat on May 01, 2014, 12:34:56 PMAlso predicts KSU Cats to have a non-con loss though, so . . .Quote4. Kansas State WildcatsProjected finish: 8-4 (6-3)Chance to win Big 12: 9 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 3 percentOur projection model almost always underrates Kansas State, a program that doesn't recruit like an elite program but one from which head coach LHC LHC LHC Bill Snyder consistently draws efficient performances. The program-building that Snyder has done at KSU is remarkable, but we don't have a specific factor in the formula to account for his wizardry. We can project that they'll be in the Big 12 mix throughout the year. More than 50 percent of the Wildcats' offensive drives crossed the opponent's 30-yard line in 2013, the second straight season Kansas State had a top-20 mark in that value drive measure.Kansas State had a rough start, then picked up steam in the second half the season, a story that may play out similarly this year. The Wildcats will be tested early in 2014 with a rare pair of nonconference games against Big Five opponents (Auburn and Utah), though they are more than twice as likely to win both (35 percent) than they are to lose both (16 percent).wizardry, tho.go home projection model you're drunk.
Also predicts KSU Cats to have a non-con loss though, so . . .Quote4. Kansas State WildcatsProjected finish: 8-4 (6-3)Chance to win Big 12: 9 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 3 percentOur projection model almost always underrates Kansas State, a program that doesn't recruit like an elite program but one from which head coach LHC LHC LHC Bill Snyder consistently draws efficient performances. The program-building that Snyder has done at KSU is remarkable, but we don't have a specific factor in the formula to account for his wizardry. We can project that they'll be in the Big 12 mix throughout the year. More than 50 percent of the Wildcats' offensive drives crossed the opponent's 30-yard line in 2013, the second straight season Kansas State had a top-20 mark in that value drive measure.Kansas State had a rough start, then picked up steam in the second half the season, a story that may play out similarly this year. The Wildcats will be tested early in 2014 with a rare pair of nonconference games against Big Five opponents (Auburn and Utah), though they are more than twice as likely to win both (35 percent) than they are to lose both (16 percent).wizardry, tho.
4. Kansas State WildcatsProjected finish: 8-4 (6-3)Chance to win Big 12: 9 percentChance to finish 11-1 or 12-0: 3 percentOur projection model almost always underrates Kansas State, a program that doesn't recruit like an elite program but one from which head coach LHC LHC LHC Bill Snyder consistently draws efficient performances. The program-building that Snyder has done at KSU is remarkable, but we don't have a specific factor in the formula to account for his wizardry. We can project that they'll be in the Big 12 mix throughout the year. More than 50 percent of the Wildcats' offensive drives crossed the opponent's 30-yard line in 2013, the second straight season Kansas State had a top-20 mark in that value drive measure.Kansas State had a rough start, then picked up steam in the second half the season, a story that may play out similarly this year. The Wildcats will be tested early in 2014 with a rare pair of nonconference games against Big Five opponents (Auburn and Utah), though they are more than twice as likely to win both (35 percent) than they are to lose both (16 percent).
