If he keeps this group of freshman he is going to the tourney with them Jr and Sr year.
This is why he will never be fired here.
He's just not Wooly bad. oscar is a solid Xs and Os guy who recruits decently, but has a strange personality and a knack for not fully taking responsibility when things are going bad. As a result he has a tough time maintaining a program and comes across poorly in the media if you really listen to what he says. The constant blame shifting with an occasional "that's on me" is extremely annoying.
However, while he's going to consistently have some bad to very bad seasons like last year, he'll probably also make the tournament 2-3 times every 5 years. A successful run in the tournament seems unlikely, but you never know.
Anyway, he's here as long as he wants.