2014 Handicapping Thread -- Degenerates ONLY

['taterblast]

been a bad couple weeks. let's go.

Kansas/Texas Tech under 58.5
West Virginia +7.5
Boston College +4.5
Hawaii +8    meh
Texas A&M +13.5    dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb
New Mexico +10
Western Michigan ML +115
Miami Ohio +14 -110 
Houston -8.5 
for fun.... Kansas State ML +235

late adds:
Mississippi -15
Iowa State +12

pretty great saturday. thanks again, BP

[cDubya]

been a bad couple weeks. let's go.

Kansas/Texas Tech under 58.5
West Virginia +7.5
Boston College +4.5
Hawaii +8    meh
Texas A&M +13.5    dumb dumb dumb dumb dumb
New Mexico +10
Western Michigan ML +115
Miami Ohio +14 -110 
Houston -8.5 
for fun.... Kansas State ML +235

late adds:
Mississippi -15
Iowa State +12

pretty great saturday. thanks again, BP

 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

This weeks card:

Pitt ML   
Houston -8   
Miami OH +12   
W Mich ML   
New Mexico +11   
Alabama -11   
Hawaii +7.5   
Boston College +6   

If anybody sees this in time, the 512 and I are on Ole Miss -16

Large.

 

Thanks go out to mocat for sharing his predictos.

8-1 on the weekend...  Overall now at 80-48-5

Great cards by 'tater and FadeMe!! Let's keep it rollin', you guys. 

 

[cDubya]

Okie lite -4 1/2?!?! 

[mocat]

Snowbrag has had Nebraska covering in all 6 FBS games this season. They have covered all 6 times.

This week: Nebraska is favored by 16.5 at home vs Rutgers. Snowbrag says Nebraska by 19...

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Okie lite -4 1/2?!?! 

There's a reason that the books are baiting people into taking WVU... It's not like the 'eers have been a juggernaut on the road and they are coming off a HUGE home upset.  I'm just gonna hang back and watch this one as I believe WVU is the better team, but in a horrible spot situationally.

[slobber]

If I did not have family obligations requiring me to be fiscally responsible, I would be fading the crap out of you guys.

Maybe it's fiscally irresponsible to not fade the crap out of you guys?

dobber to mrsdobber: There are these guys at goEMAW.com that have created algorithms and stuff. Anyway, these guys pick football games based on what their algorithms tell them to do. They post the predictions on goEMAW.com. Since they win on about 80% of all of the games, I am just going to bet $1,000 per game based on what they think the outcome of the game will be. Okay? Great!

[cDubya]

Okie lite -4 1/2?!?! 

There's a reason that the books are baiting people into taking WVU... It's not like the 'eers have been a juggernaut on the road and they are coming off a HUGE home upset.  I'm just gonna hang back and watch this one as I believe WVU is the better team, but in a horrible spot situationally.

You make good points. Haven't trained myself to look at the odds that way just yet. That's why this thread is so great. 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

If I did not have family obligations requiring me to be fiscally responsible, I would be fading the crap out of you guys.

Maybe it's fiscally irresponsible to not fade the crap out of you guys?

dobber to mrsdobber: There are these guys at goEMAW.com that have created algorithms and stuff. Anyway, these guys pick football games based on what their algorithms tell them to do. They post the predictions on goEMAW.com. Since they win on about 80% of all of the games, I am just going to bet $1,000 per game based on what they think the outcome of the game will be. Okay? Great!

At $100 per play, you'd only be down four large fading me this fall...  Good point.

 

[FadeMeAU]

Okie lite -4 1/2?!?! 

There's a reason that the books are baiting people into taking WVU... It's not like the 'eers have been a juggernaut on the road and they are coming off a HUGE home upset.  I'm just gonna hang back and watch this one as I believe WVU is the better team, but in a horrible spot situationally.

And I don't think Okie St is as bad as they looked Saturday. The public will see WVU's big win coupled with Ok St's bad loss and say this line is a no brainer for WVU. Big fan of the Cowboys in this spot.

[FadeMeAU]

If I did not have family obligations requiring me to be fiscally responsible, I would be fading the crap out of you guys.

Maybe it's fiscally irresponsible to not fade the crap out of you guys?

dobber to mrsdobber: There are these guys at goEMAW.com that have created algorithms and stuff. Anyway, these guys pick football games based on what their algorithms tell them to do. They post the predictions on goEMAW.com. Since they win on about 80% of all of the games, I am just going to bet $1,000 per game based on what they think the outcome of the game will be. Okay? Great!

You're more than welcome to fade my picks. I earned this name fair and square.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Okie lite -4 1/2?!?! 

There's a reason that the books are baiting people into taking WVU... It's not like the 'eers have been a juggernaut on the road and they are coming off a HUGE home upset.  I'm just gonna hang back and watch this one as I believe WVU is the better team, but in a horrible spot situationally.

And I don't think Okie St is as bad as they looked Saturday. The public will see WVU's big win coupled with Ok St's bad loss and say this line is a no brainer for WVU. Big fan of the Cowboys in this spot.

Also, unranked team favored over ranked team usually means

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Locked in the first play of Week 9:

K-State -10

More to come.

[GoodForAnother]

traveled for work the last two weeks and didn't get a piece of BP's run. dammit.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Have these locked in so far:

Auburn -18
Kentucky +14.5
Central Mich -5
Pitt -4
Maryland +11
UNLV +17
Bama -17
Wazzu +3
K-State -10
Hawaii +3.5

Good luck!

[FadeMeAU]

Have these locked in so far:

Auburn -18
Kentucky +14.5
Central Mich -5
Pitt -4
Maryland +11
UNLV +17
Bama -17
Wazzu +3
K-State -10
Hawaii +3.5

Good luck!

Really like this card. Bama is interesting. The line seems off about 7 points. I know UT, even at night, doesn't carry a 7 point home field advantage. Plus, I have no idea how they will score. But I don't know why Bama is only -17. What are your thoughts, BP?

[FadeMeAU]

Here's what I have so far:

South Alabama -14
Cal +17
Arizona -2.5
UAB +22.5
LSU +3.5
Utah +1.5
KState -10
Ohio St -13.5
Kentucky +14
BC -12


I like Auburn this weekend at anything under 21. I just don't make a habit of betting on them because it's difficult to be objective. I also like OK St, but I want to wait and see what this line is going to do first. Might add it Saturday morning.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Here's what I have so far:

South Alabama -14
Cal +17
Arizona -2.5
UAB +22.5
LSU +3.5
Utah +1.5
KState -10
Ohio St -13.5
Kentucky +14
BC -12


I like Auburn this weekend at anything under 21. I just don't make a habit of betting on them because it's difficult to be objective. I also like OK St, but I want to wait and see what this line is going to do first. Might add it Saturday morning.

Thanks for the kind words... Bama rolls again.  UT-lite has a bunch of frosh/sophs lining up against grown men and that d-line is horrible.  I think the road trip to an improved pig aggy is keeping that line down.  Also, lay the points with Auburn.  Math says that line is off by 7-10 points.  There's more line value there than there is in our game... Just know when to play on, or against, your squad.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Added plays:

Miami FL -2.5
Memphis -23
Ga Southern -17

Strong lean to LSU +4... May add it on Saturday. 

Card is complete for now though.

[8manpick]

Anyone think -10 line will move more favorably towards KSU because of Texas volume, or no? Would love to get that next half point free

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Anyone think -10 line will move more favorably towards KSU because of Texas volume, or no? Would love to get that next half point free

I read online earlier that there's two schools of thought on our line... one is that there will be late Texas money and the other is that, with already 4-5 points of line value, that K-State will take sharp dollars late and it'll close higher. If it does get to 9.5, I don't think it'll stay there long.

With that said, Pinnacle is usually a pretty sharp offshore book and their the only ones at 9.5. 

[GoodForAnother]

#tailed

[AppleJack]

VA Tech ML

[Bookcat]

Locked in the first play of Week 9:

K-State -10

More to come.

 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Added:

USF +10