Messages

1

The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Possible WW3 thread

« on: Today at 08:58:56 AM »

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1779964782181011613

Noah is being so incredibly dishonest it is hard to read.

He starts by conflating nuclear armed ICBMs with cruise missiles, drones, and short to medium range ballistic missiles. Then has a quote from Yglesias without context talking about nuclear ICBMs and makes the following points:
1) N Korea and other rogue states didn’t at the time have the technology to hit us with ICBMs
2) missile defense against nuclear ICBMs was nearly impossible

Noah then concedes that on the actual issue being discussed then Matt was right and is still right today.

But then he fails to mention the fact that the Bush administration in pursuing missile defense also just happened to basically dismantle the entire arms control treaty architecture that had slowly worked to set norms against a new arms race in ICBMs, ABMs and the militarization of space.

We can’t blame Bush for the looming expiration of START, but it certainly didn’t help that they unilaterally withdrew from multiple arms control treaties to pursue what even Noah describes as a failed strategy to prevent ICBMs ending our civilization.

Anyways, they largely pivoted to anti-terrorism afterwards but the arms control damage had already been done. We are in a much worse position with regard to arms control because of these choices.

On the A-10/F-35 debate—I take his point, I can acknowledge that the F35 seems to be much more successful than was thought by many.

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Possible WW3 thread

« on: April 13, 2024, 09:34:29 PM »

It would be kind of ironic if the war we thought would start WW3 just happens to still be going on while the actual WW3 gets started.

My nightmare scenario is Israel and Iran expands in to a war, then the US is going to have to decide how involved we want to be. That would get us an energy crisis, and BDS for real. Israel feels existentially threatened and gets a little reckless with their nuclear arsenal or starts threatening it and then Russia or China wants to find a way to assert their global leadership by having their own little proxy war with US’ greatest ally and the US and the West decides it is civilizational war time.

I really hope Israel picks a military target and goes small.

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Possible WW3 thread

« on: April 13, 2024, 09:24:02 PM »

I have zero doubt Israel is going to attack Iranian soil now.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... [emoji2] )

« on: April 13, 2024, 03:22:04 PM »

Yeah, Casemiro is just finished and it happened so fast. Insane dropoff in form from last season to now. A replacement for him and a new CB to partner with Martinez next season should be the first priorities.

I saw him multiple times in the opposition 18 and if Bournemouth played one more pass the back 4 would have been completely exposed again. I understand Bruno dropping deep to get space and pick a pass I don’t understand why you would ask the slowest man in England who is supposed to provide defensive cover to be 40-50 yard further up field when he won’t even be able to put a body on anyone to stop a counter. Again, that is on Ten Hag.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... :D )

« on: April 13, 2024, 01:17:47 PM »

Casameiro is a waste of space. Bruno not only scored both goals but is the only midfielder that presses and tracks back in time consistently.

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024

« on: April 13, 2024, 01:13:09 PM »

I’m so mad at Trump I am once again voting for one of the biggest historical racists to ever walk the halls of Washington DC . . . #blueanongE

Joe “incarceration nation” Biden is my guy .  . . Steve Dave and #blueanongE


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

One of the biggest historical racists to ever walk the halls of Washington DC is a wild claim. I don’t like lots of politicians in 2024 but I wouldn’t put them up against 1965 or 1855 Senate’s worst and be taken seriously.

Come on man

Your boy was BFF’s with Bob Byrd and no amount of white washing (LMAO) is going to change Byrd’s KKK past

Your boy Bill Clinton idolized a notorious segregationist. Which why the deification of the racist Clinton’s by #blueanon will never stop being hilarious to me. Hillary was the vital cog in the “we will bring them to heal” movement. I’ll give you 3 shots as to who “them” was.


#blueanon: Circling the wagons around their racists like none other


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yeah not great. But being friends with a former KKK member or being “friends” with Storm Thurmond (R) seems not as bad as say owning slaves, or being Storm Thurmond.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports

« on: April 13, 2024, 12:23:58 PM »

About pick up soccer in manhattan, for adults I think it is actually pretty great and my life has been improved by it so much and I am very thankful for it.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports

« on: April 13, 2024, 12:20:25 PM »

For example, I think Sweden has set a great example by partially privatizing their Social Security system.

I admit I started it, but let’s not pit this up.

I’m curious what you think about the model for youth sports as compared with our pay to play system. I think rec leagues from our youth are probably overly romanticized but covid for sure killed off MPRD sports in MHK and I think that was a loss for the community.

I also think generally that open gyms or pick up for basketball and regular pick up games for soccer and vital for the health of the sports. I think we are too far gone on baseball in the states but pick up game culture is sports culture for most of the world.

I do not particularly like pay for play. I am most familiar with youth soccer and my thoughts will primarily be based off my experiences in youth soccer.

Nothing is going to change in US youth soccer until there is the introduction of solidarity payments as there is in much of the world of soccer. There is a good chance that this is what makes the facilities in Bryne, Norway possible. The US Soccer Federation should be handsomely rewarding clubs who produce players that make the various national teams and/or play at a high level. They have a lot of money and waste it on their cronies. There is never going to be some sort of government support for youth sports and I wouldn't be in favor of it. Solidarity payments would completely change how youth soccer operates.

I also am not convinced that pick up game culture is the sports culture in Europe. I'm sure there are plenty of kids playing pick up soccer games, but the ones that are good are going to club Academies at young ages.

is that through scholarships to the academies?

There are plenty of challenges like a lack of population density and no scale for infrastructure and coaching for academies because of the relatively huge lack of professional clubs compared to most of the rest of the world. I like your idea but those other challenges are not easy to solve.

As far as pick up culture, I don’t pretend to know much about Europe but I would guess it is at least similar to basketball culture here. For poorer countries that have fewer academies there is a very strong pick up culture and I think the problem is we have neither.

I think it is hard to imagine we get kids playing unsupervised in streets and parks given our society’s ability paranoia anti-social parenting culture but maybe we can do a bit better at pick up game culture by starting with more accessible youth sports facilities. I think Manhattan has done some of this hard work with the middle schools and Douglass center, but there is more to be done.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... [emoji2] )

« on: April 13, 2024, 12:06:48 PM »

Man U’s defense is so hilariously bad. Like watching a pick up game. 

They are must watch because there are so many chances.

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Essentially Flyertalk / Re: travel thread

« on: April 12, 2024, 10:24:26 AM »

Rome is probably my favorite city I've ever been to. I would say that is the move. After you've done your walking/wandering/touring can sit for aperitivo and let that stretch in to dinner.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / competitive little kid sports

« on: April 11, 2024, 02:02:10 PM »

For example, I think Sweden has set a great example by partially privatizing their Social Security system.

I admit I started it, but let’s not pit this up.

I’m curious what you think about the model for youth sports as compared with our pay to play system. I think rec leagues from our youth are probably overly romanticized but covid for sure killed off MPRD sports in MHK and I think that was a loss for the community.

I also think generally that open gyms or pick up for basketball and regular pick up games for soccer and vital for the health of the sports. I think we are too far gone on baseball in the states but pick up game culture is sports culture for most of the world.

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Essentially Flyertalk / Re: Recent motion picture viewing - Add your own!

« on: April 11, 2024, 10:50:58 AM »

Zone of interest - every once in a while it's good to be reminded that the nazis were real jerks 5/7

It just arrived on a streaming service and I will be watching this weekend I think.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports

« on: April 11, 2024, 10:50:03 AM »

Is it that hard to believe we could learn something from the Nordics? I think we could learn a lot.

Although their customs on not feeding guests is horrendous.

Who is saying we can't learn anything from the Nordics?

Sounds like no one.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports

« on: April 11, 2024, 09:07:55 AM »

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Essentially Flyertalk / Re: Kc restaurant suggestions

« on: April 11, 2024, 08:46:51 AM »

Hot damn, there is no better drunk food than Pancho's. Manhattan is really behind the times on this. How the hell did it get skipped over for Junction City?

JC ethnic food is a sleeper. They also have better food trucks.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... :D )

« on: April 11, 2024, 08:42:20 AM »

Arteta finished 8th and 8th his first two seasons.

Haha yep

Is anyone here implying that Ten Hag will even bring a coherent team set up in the same universe as Arteta? I know no one is saying he is as good a coach as Arteta, but he doesn’t even seem to have much of a plan.

I saw that he had 29 different lineups for 34 games so far this year. Of course they have had injuries, but that is not all of it.

Their midfield is an enormous problem, Casemeiro is very old and slow, but he also is either being asked to be like 30-40 yards further up field than at Madrid or he has taken it upon himself. I think think based upon the runs McTominay was making when he was getting goals it is part of Ten Hag’s philosophy. But this indicates a complete unwillingness to compromise based upon his teams personnel.

They need a striker, they need at least one holding midfielder, they probably need another full back and possibly another central defender.

Wan Bissaka looks worse, Luke Shaw is great, but Dalot is terrible and they don’t have a center back pairing that has worked well at all (although having zero midfield protection doesn’t help). I think Martinez is very good, but he needs someone else that will cover his weaknesses. He can get caught out ball hunting and he’s small. Harry McGuire has looked the part recently, so maybe it is him?? Varane needs a rehab facility named after him. Lindelof is an ok utility man, but can’t be the answer to start week in week out at center back.

So besides the fact that they don’t have any coherent philosophy, they have a squad that conservatively has 2-3 gaping holes and while they are 6th they still have a negative goal differential and look miles off the top 4.

So other than all that, great comparison.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports

« on: April 10, 2024, 09:50:47 PM »

Is it that hard to believe we could learn something from the Nordics? I think we could learn a lot.

Although their customs on not feeding guests is horrendous.

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024

« on: April 09, 2024, 09:09:47 AM »

I’m so mad at Trump I am once again voting for one of the biggest historical racists to ever walk the halls of Washington DC . . . #blueanongE

Joe “incarceration nation” Biden is my guy .  . . Steve Dave and #blueanongE


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

One of the biggest historical racists to ever walk the halls of Washington DC is a wild claim. I don’t like lots of politicians in 2024 but I wouldn’t put them up against 1965 or 1855 Senate’s worst and be taken seriously.

Come on man

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... :D )

« on: April 09, 2024, 09:06:52 AM »

United are currently giving up between 20-30 shots per game which is among the worst in all of Europe. This has been mitigated in part by Onana who has settled in and been solid in goal. United also look like scoring at least 2 goals themselves per game. It's just pure chaos - which brings me back to the feeling that Ten Hag has given up. Not sure he'll survive the summer with new ownership.

Watched the Old Firm highlights too yesterday. What a game. Why did they get rid of away fans for this fixture? Sounded like they're bringing them back soon though.

I listen to this podcast called talk of the devils it's Manchester based, from the athletic. Anyway, they're pretty plugged in and they say that Radcliffe is bringing him back.

That is great to hear that they're likely to bring Ten Hag back.

Hahah yep

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / competitive little kid sports

« on: April 09, 2024, 08:59:01 AM »

I saw a thread about youth soccer in the 12,000 person town Erling Haaland grew up in and that sounded idyllic.

Caveats— I don’t know if it is accurate and I am generalizing

They had kids in youth soccer from about 6 on. They built a dome for soccer in the middle of town (it is Norway). They had an excellent coach. They only practiced 2x a week but left the doors unlocked to the facility so it was open access pretty much 24/7. They had pickup games every Saturday. They did not cut, they let kids choose how often they came to practice when they were like 11-12, 2x a week or 4x a week. Again they didn’t cut and they only started competing in tournaments regionally at 13+. I don’t know what the fees were, but it seemed like most of the expenditures were public not pay to play.

That sounds better in pretty much every way.

And it produced several pros, not just Haaland. I don’t care if my kid plays beyond HS or even in HS if they do more than ride the bench tbh, I just want them to have something they can get better at that is active and with a team.

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: European Club Soccer Thread! (EPL, Champions League, Europa, etc... :D )

« on: April 08, 2024, 02:40:59 PM »

The Liverpool / Man U game was fun and bizarre. I still can't quite understand how Man U managed to stay in it.

Scottish race for the title looks like it will go down to the final day.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2024/apr/07/rangers-celtic-scottish-premiership-match-report

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Possible WW3 thread

« on: April 08, 2024, 11:46:35 AM »

Russian quarterly budget revenues rise more than half amid high oil prices
Russian budget revenues in the first quarter of 2024 reached Rbs8.7tn ($94bn) thanks to elevated oil prices, marking year-on-year growth of more than half, finance ministry data showed on Monday.

Energy revenues, which make up a third of Russia’s total budget earnings, surged almost 80 per cent to Rbs2.9tn, fuelled by high oil prices and one-off payments from energy exporters due to taxation changes.

In April, a Kyiv School of Economics report concluded western sanctions had not achieved their aim of leaving Moscow without windfall oil revenues while keeping Russian oil afloat.

-Financial Times

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Thread for when someone on the other side does something good

« on: April 08, 2024, 09:35:49 AM »

Well you’re using a different meaning of “legal” than me because evicting a rightful tenant subjects the landlord to damages, 3x rent, attorneys fees, and perjury charges.

https://m.flsenate.gov/session/bill/2024/621/billtext/er/pdf

The ACLU reports that 81% of landlords are represented in eviction court proceedings, compared to 3% of renters. Studies show that “between 51 percent and 75 percent of tenants without legal representation lost their case in court.”

Did you miss my point about how the new law includes a fee shifting provision when a tenant is removed from the property? Attorneys would be happy to take that case with no cash up front. Not so much if a tenant is in a bona fide legal dispute with a landlord.

If you think landlords have a massive advantage in traditional eviction proceedings (which I don’t disagree with), you would think they would much prefer that route over utilizing the anti-squatting law, which is exactly the policy you’ve been advocating for ITT.

I think you are overestimating how excited lawyers would get about a 3x rent plus attorney fee judgement, but even if we started seeing billboards to drum up business there are plenty of people who wouldn’t be able to do it because they couldn’t take off work, too scared, etc as mich pointed out.

There is an incredible amount of wage theft in this country and even when the worker knows they are being ripped off they don’t do anything because they are worried about their job. Losing your housing is very scary so people put up with incredibly bad situations for the most part. This should not be surprising.

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Essentially Flyertalk / Re: Pet Peeves

« on: April 06, 2024, 01:38:02 PM »

The absolutely terrible roads that connect manhattan to I-80 to get to Omaha to see Jimmy Eat World and Fall Out Boy

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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Possible WW3 thread

« on: April 05, 2024, 11:23:31 AM »

Imagine having the largest and most expensive intelligence apparatus in the world and yet still not being sure who is doing these things years later.

Even more concerning is that at least one case, it took Florida cops to get one guy. I suppose the FBI was busy planning early morning raids on people who said mean things about Joe or sending agents to peoples houses to discuss meme's on social media.

“Havana Syndrome” is not a real thing. Unless you don’t believe in Physics or Medical science and would prefer to believe a handful of state department and CIA employees who had some migraines and tummy aches that they decided to blame on a microwave laser.