2014 Handicapping Thread -- Degenerates ONLY

[Bqqkie Pimp]

oh also i added Mississippi State +10 late so that helped, 9-8 for the weekend

Good job, sir.  Keep up the good work!! 

 

['taterblast]

just to make today interesting:

49ers -3
Chiefs/Dolphins over 42.5
Broncos +4
Chiefs ML +190

[Bqqkie Pimp]

just to make today interesting:

49ers -3
Chiefs/Dolphins over 42.5
Broncos +4
Chiefs ML +190

Good luck!

I've got some pocket change on these, but nothing that'll dent the bankroll since I don't trust the niffel.

San Diego +2
St. Louis +1
Minnesota +10.5
Jax'ville +7.5
Philly -6
NYG PK
Tennessee +7

May throw some change on the Chiefs ML if the early games go well.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

CFB Week 5

Already locked in:

Maryland +3.5
Dook +4
Illinois +18
Flood aggy +22.5
Ga Southern -14
UTEP +30.5

More to come...

[FadeMeAU]

Bookie told me to post my picks for you to fade. Here they are:

Kansas State +9.5
UNC +2
Colorado -7
Rutgers +6
Florida +14.5
Mississippi State +10
aTm -32.5

Not a bad weekend. I'll take 5-2 all season. Looks like others here had good weekends as well.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Bookie told me to post my picks for you to fade. Here they are:

Kansas State +9.5
UNC +2
Colorado -7
Rutgers +6
Florida +14.5
Mississippi State +10
aTm -32.5

Not a bad weekend. I'll take 5-2 all season. Looks like others here had good weekends as well.

[mocat]

aTm -32.5

SMU is so, so very bad. This is going to be 60-3 type stuff

 

i've mentioned before in other threads, but snowbrag needs another week or so to get some more reliable data before i can use it to do my bookie pimp'ing, so take this fwiw.
these are 5 games i like:

Mississippi State +10 
Michigan State -45.5 
Texas State +14 
Georgia State +35 
Louisville -26.5 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

aTm -32.5

SMU is so, so very bad. This is going to be 60-3 type stuff

 

i've mentioned before in other threads, but snowbrag needs another week or so to get some more reliable data before i can use it to do my bookie pimp'ing, so take this fwiw.
these are 5 games i like:

Mississippi State +10 
Michigan State -45.5 
Texas State +14 
Georgia State +35 
Louisville -26.5 

GREAT JOB!!  Keep 'em coming...  What's snowbrag like this week?

With UT having Baylor on deck after ku, those two TD's are starting to look better in what should be a game that struggles to reach 30 total points.  Thoughts?

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

Had another parlay/hedge win yesterday.

Chiefs +4
Seahawks -3.5 (holy crap, this made me so nervous)
Panthers -3

Felt good about Panthers -3 but since it was a 3-team parlay at 6:1 i took Steelers +3.5 after the line moved and made some money. I can't believe I ever did parlays where all the games were at the same time. Hedging is like, awesome. Guaranteed money.

[mocat]

aTm -32.5

SMU is so, so very bad. This is going to be 60-3 type stuff

 

i've mentioned before in other threads, but snowbrag needs another week or so to get some more reliable data before i can use it to do my bookie pimp'ing, so take this fwiw.
these are 5 games i like:

Mississippi State +10 
Michigan State -45.5 
Texas State +14 
Georgia State +35 
Louisville -26.5 

GREAT JOB!!  Keep 'em coming...  What's snowbrag like this week?

With UT having Baylor on deck after ku, those two TD's are starting to look better in what should be a game that struggles to reach 30 total points.  Thoughts?

I agree on UT-KU. I have UT by 7, but i kind of want to stay away from that one. both teams are kind of unknown commodities.

the big question this week is, how much does Jameis mean to FSU?

we'll see where the week shakes out, but early on, these stand out to me:

New Mexico State +44.5 (@ LSU)
Texas State +3.5 (@ Tulsa)
Duke +4.5 (@ Miami)
NC State +21.5 (vs FSU)
Temple -3.5 (@ UConn)

['taterblast]

i'm taking texas -14.5

[Bqqkie Pimp]

I agree on UT-KU. I have UT by 7, but i kind of want to stay away from that one. both teams are kind of unknown commodities.

the big question this week is, how much does Jameis mean to FSU?

we'll see where the week shakes out, but early on, these stand out to me:

New Mexico State +44.5 (@ LSU)
Texas State +3.5 (@ Tulsa)
Duke +4.5 (@ Miami)
NC State +21.5 (vs FSU)
Temple -3.5 (@ UConn)

I agree on the UT/ku game... if ku scores, UT will have a hard time covering that spot.  Already on Dook.  Tailing your NC State & Tex St games.

Thanks. 

[GoodForAnother]

I'm just a tailing fool up in here

[Bqqkie Pimp]

I'm just a tailing fool up in here

You should put on a push up bra, low cut shirt and start posting the ones you like on twitter as @GFAinVegas

 

[GoodForAnother]

I'm just a tailing fool up in here

You should put on a push up bra, low cut shirt and start posting the ones you like on twitter as @GFAinVegas

 

#CrossdressingCats

no but seriously I'll just consider to get free money by admitting that I don't know anything and copying the people that do

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Final card:

Ga Southern -15
Okie Lite -13.5
Arizona State ML
Cal -10
NC State +21.5
ku +14.5
Texas St +4.5
UTSA -4
UTEP +30.5
Illinois +18
Maryland +4.5
Dook +4

[cDubya]

@BP, we've discussed my betting n00bness, but I can tell you are either very experienced or crazy as hell with those Texas St. and Ga. Southern plays. I mean, who knows those teams with enough confidence to put real money on them?!

[Gooch]

Degenerates all of ya! 

['taterblast]

here we go:

TCU -30
Wisconsin -33
Iowa State +22
Miami -4
UTEP +29.5
Georgia Southern -15.5
Texas Tech +15
California -10
Texas -14.5
Arizona State +5
South Carolina -6

[Bqqkie Pimp]

@BP, we've discussed my betting n00bness, but I can tell you are either very experienced or crazy as hell with those Texas St. and Ga. Southern plays. I mean, who knows those teams with enough confidence to put real money on them?!

Math.

 

[Mixed-Nutz]

Won't touch the UTEP game. Just watch our offense finally really click and us have a defensive and special teams touchdown.

[mocat]

@BP, we've discussed my betting n00bness, but I can tell you are either very experienced or crazy as hell with those Texas St. and Ga. Southern plays. I mean, who knows those teams with enough confidence to put real money on them?!

TV coverage has nothing to do with the ability to compile stats

[mocat]

NC State +21.5
UTEP +26.5
NM State +42.5
TX State +4.5
Duke +7
New Mexico +5.5
Arizona State +5.5

all my most confident plays this week are on dogs 

[cDubya]

@BP and Mocat, I get that it's all about statistics and not the least bit about what we "see". I'm just showing my lack of gambling experience, I guess. Not quite a degenerate yet!

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Won't touch the UTEP game. Just watch our offense finally really click and us have a defensive and special teams touchdown.

Might not hit, but that's why there's an element of gambling to it.  With that said, the algo we use to find an edge says we have a 10-14 point advantage based on where we believe line should be, depending on whether one got it at 26 or 30ish.

NC State +21.5
UTEP +26.5
NM State +42.5
TX State +4.5
Duke +7
New Mexico +5.5
Arizona State +5.5

all my most confident plays this week are on dogs 

Great card.  May tail the UNM play... Bought Dook too early, glad you got 7.